Rayo have been extremely solid at home defensively, conceding just 3 goals in 5 matches, an average of 0.6 goals per game.

However, their attacking potential takes a hit here, as their two best creators, Isi Palazón and Trejo, are both out, while Nteka remains doubtful.

Another important factor is the trend in this matchup: each of the last five head-to-head meetings has finished under 2.5 goals, pointing strongly toward a low-scoring pattern.