Alkmaar
18 Dec, 2025
21:00
Jagiellonia
Only a victory is likely to secure AZ a place in the top eight and direct qualification for the Conference League Round of 16. Back-to-back wins against Drita and Shelbourne have turned the campaign around after a shaky start, restoring confidence and momentum for the Dutch side.
Jagielonia arrive as an attacking and capable opponent. Despite a generally decent run, with just one defeat in the last five matches, recent domestic and European performances suggest a slight dip, as they are currently on a five-match winless streak across competitions.
What we say
Under 2.5 Goals
With both teams approaching this match cautiously and the stakes being high, goals may come at a premium. AZ are expected to control the game through structure and discipline rather than attacking risk, while Jagielonia tend to struggle in creating clear chances against organised sides.
Given the likely controlled tempo, emphasis on defensive solidity, and limited attacking efficiency from the visitors, this matchup is well suited for a low-scoring outcome with fewer than three goals.