This match is well suited for a home victory.

Villarreal have been particularly strong on their own ground, collecting the majority of their points at home 22 so far this season. In contrast, Alavés have struggled significantly away from home, managing just four points from eight matches, with a concerning goal difference of 3:11. Their recent away form is especially poor, as they have suffered five consecutive defeats on the road.

The head-to-head record also favors Villarreal. They are unbeaten at home against Alavés in their last five meetings, recording four wins and one draw.