Small margins are likely to decide the outcome of this match, and most of them point in favor of Rayo Vallecano.

The first key factor is Mallorca’s defensive absence. Raíllo, who has played all 18 league matches this season and is a central figure in their defensive structure, will miss this game due to injury. His absence significantly weakens Mallorca at the back.

Another concern for Mallorca is their away form. They have conceded 15 goals in nine away matches, highlighting ongoing defensive issues on the road.

Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, come into this match unbeaten in their last five home outings, although four of those ended in draws. Despite the lack of wins, they have shown consistency and defensive stability during this run.