Morocco
18 Jan, 2026
20:00
Senegal
Both nations have played six matches each in this AFCON, and the total number of goals conceded combined is just three, Senegal have allowed two, while Morocco have conceded only one throughout the entire campaign.
This clash truly represents a battle between the two strongest defences of the tournament, and on fine margins the edge leans toward Morocco. Details will be decisive, but Morocco benefit from home-ground advantage and have managed injuries to key players more effectively. Senegal, by contrast, are significantly weakened defensively, missing their captain Kalidou Koulibaly due to injury, as well as key defensive midfielder Diarra, who is suspended after accumulating yellow cards.
What we say
Under 2.5 Goals
An under-goals selection is the most reasonable approach, as neither side is likely to take excessive attacking risks due to the potential defensive vulnerability such risks could create. With both teams boasting elite defensive records, we expect a tight, tactical encounter.
A secondary option would be a draw.